Bitcoin adjusts its pace amid mixed signals

12 Kasım 2025

Crypto Market Analysis on behalf of Antonio Di Giacomo, Semior Market Analyst at XS.com.

Bitcoin adjusts its pace amid mixed signals between institutional adoption and macroeconomic and caution 

Bitcoin pulled back on Tuesday after a brief recovery, reflecting the crypto market’s continued sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions. The asset’s price slipped toward $103,000, even as political developments signaled progress toward ending the U.S. government shutdown. Although this helped boost risk appetite in equity markets, investors particularly favored technology stocks, which indirectly weighed on the crypto space.

One key development was a new purchase from Strategy Inc., the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, which added 487 bitcoins to its portfolio. With this acquisition, the company now holds a total of 641,692 coins, further solidifying its presence in the ecosystem. However, the purchase did not trigger a significant price rebound, suggesting a moderate market reaction. Sentiment remains cautious as traders continue to evaluate the balance between supply, demand, and expectations surrounding monetary policy.

Bitcoin’s volatility has remained relatively contained in recent weeks, an uncommon pattern for an asset historically known for sharp price swings. Factors such as U.S. dollar strength, movements in Treasury yields, and expectations regarding upcoming Federal Reserve decisions continue to play a significant role in shaping investment flows. Meanwhile, trading volume has remained stable, though there are no apparent signs of substantial upside or downside momentum.

Additionally, well-known short seller Jim Chanos announced the closure of his bearish position against Strategy Inc., following a significant decline in the company’s share price. According to Chanos, the current valuation is now closer to the theoretical value of its Bitcoin reserves, reducing the appeal of continuing the short. However, he did not rule out further near-term pressure, especially if Bitcoin’s price experiences additional corrections or broader macro conditions deteriorate.

A notable development reinforcing the narrative of greater crypto integration into the traditional financial system came from SoFi. The institution became the first U.S. bank to offer direct cryptocurrency trading, enabling clients to buy, sell, and hold Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana directly from their accounts. This move marks a significant step toward institutional adoption, bringing the crypto ecosystem closer to a broader, more regulated user base.

SoFi’s decision comes as banks, asset managers, and ETF issuers continue to expand their crypto offerings. Although the market still experiences periodic corrections, institutional inflows have shown resilience. At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded weekly fluctuations with more days of net inflows than outflows, suggesting that investors maintain a long-term view despite short-term uncertainties.

However, growing adoption does not eliminate risks. The interaction between monetary policy, global economic activity, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory developments continues to shape price dynamics. Investors are also closely monitoring derivatives markets, where reduced leverage signals a more defensive stance among institutional participants.

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s recent pullback appears more like a pause than a definitive trend reversal. Ongoing corporate accumulation and the expansion of crypto-related financial services reinforce the long-term adoption narrative. Nevertheless, short-term direction will continue to be driven primarily by macroeconomic factors and shifts in global risk sentiment. For now, the market remains in a wait-and-see phase, anticipating stronger catalysts that could define the next significant move.

 

Zaid Barem / ymm