Today's markets analysis on behalf of George Khoury Global Head of
Education and Research at CFI
The euro was trading sideways against the dollar in the early session as the euro-dollar
remained above the 1.075 level. The EUR/USD reacted positively as the Euro Area Service
PMI came out better than market consensus at 53.3 points for April, surpassing March’s
reading of 51.5 points. Furthermore, the market continues to digest weaker-than-expected
US data. The latter have fueled expectations of interest rate cuts to start sooner with two
cuts priced in for 2024. The latest ISM surveys indicating contraction in manufacturing and
services have raised doubts over the strength of the US economy while weaker-than-
expected job market data prompted a change in views regarding the Federal Reserve’s
monetary policy direction, supporting anticipations toward interest rate cuts. However, the
pair could continue to see some volatility as traders react to upcoming comments from the
Federal Reserve governors in particular as monetary policy expectations have been
swinging significantly lately. Bond yields could remain under some pressure if monetary
policy expectations continue to soften.
Zaid Barem, Your Mind Media